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Thinking in Diagrams

Chapter 3: Surfacing Influences

Drafted for Aryeh's edit.

For chapter 3: Surfacing Influences

  • Reading the chapter: about 9 minutes, its 1,357 words of prose at 150 words a minute. Not counted in those minutes: 4 figures, 1 pair, 2 understanding checks, the reading exercise and the exercises.
  • A session: 50 minutes, the exercises set for it. (estimate)
  • Afterwards: 60 minutes, the exercises set for then. (estimate)
  • An influence claim read as a causal one, its direction taken for granted. An influence claim says that one variable bears on another, not which way: more screen time might mean less reading or, with books on a tablet, more. In the understanding check about an allotment, one reinforcing loop: crop yield → seed saved → crop yield closes a path through an influence claim, which the conversion leaves behind.
  • A polarity given where nobody measured the direction. The bad diagram, turnout in a local election, gives all seven claims a + or −, two of them measured; the lab reports it only on a brief that requires an influence claim. In the understanding check about a bakery, all three: the owner knows her shop is this misreading. The briefs of IM 04 and CS 03 each require exactly the three upgrades someone counted.
  • Weight read as direction or as evidence. Weight says how much, not which way or how sure. In the reading’s third question, agricultural expansion → tropical deforestation, whose three dots mark it found in 96% of the cases reads the dots as grounds for an upgrade.
  • A cluster read as variables joined by claims. A cluster holds variables that share something. In the reading’s second question, economic forces and political and institutional forces, which bear on it in the most cases is a wrong choice for wood extraction’s cluster.

The session runs from direct influences through indirect ones and the published map to upgrading only what was measured; clusters, a path converted to a loop and the case come afterwards.

For a session