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Thinking in Diagrams

Chapter 6: What Accumulates

Drafted for Aryeh's edit.

For chapter 6: What Accumulates

  • Reading the chapter: about 11 minutes, its 1,662 words of prose at 150 words a minute. Not counted in those minutes: 5 figures, 1 pair, 2 understanding checks, the reading exercise and the exercises.
  • A session: 50 minutes, the exercises set for it. (estimate)
  • Afterwards: 55 minutes, the exercises set for then. (estimate)
  • A rate drawn as a stock. In the bad diagram, the tap and the drain are stocks counted in liters per minute on either side of the water in the tub; the lab’s check reports filling and draining as transfers between stocks in different units. In the understanding check about a phone, charging is the choice that reads a flow as a stock.
  • A stock’s behavior read from its inflow alone. Cronin, Gonzalez and Sterman (2009) found highly educated adults often unable to infer how a simple stock behaves, assuming its behavior matches the pattern of its flows: the correlation heuristic. In the understanding check about Dana’s inbox, They fall, because fewer emails arrive is this reading; arrivals still exceed what she clears.
  • A stock’s path drawn that its flows can’t produce. Booth Sweeney and Sterman (2000) found students at an elite business school, new to system dynamics, understood stocks and flows poorly. A stock’s slope is its net flow: in SF 02, burning outpaces gathering by a steady seven kilograms an hour, so the pile falls in a straight line.
  • A flow to a cloud left out of a stock equation. In the reading’s third question, change in groundwater = groundwater recharge − groundwater discharge to ocean leaves out agricultural water use, which drains groundwater to a cloud.
  • A flow counted in its stock’s units. In the reading’s second question, cubic kilometers is this choice for ocean evaporation; SF 01’s self-check counts the words Lena knows in words and the flow in words per week.

The session goes from one stock and its inflow, through two flows and a stock equation, to a published diagram of Earth’s water redrawn as stocks and flows; a delay, a chain of stocks and the case come afterwards.